Working Paper Series

ICE WP#2024-009

Robots, Tools, and Jobs: Evidence from Brazilian Labor Markets

January 1, 2024

by Haishi Li and Gustavo de Souza

Abstract

What is the effect of robots and tools on employment and inequality? Using natural language processing and an instrumental variable approach, we discover that robots have led to a sizable decrease in the employment and wages of low-skilled workers in operational occupations. However, tools–machines that complement labor–have led to an equally large reinstatement of these workers, increasing their employment and wages. Using a quantitative model, we find that the lower prices of robots and tools over the last 20 years have reduced inequality and increased welfare without a significant effect on employment.

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