Working Paper Series

ICE WP#2024-002

The Allocation of Talent and Financial Development, 1897 to 1936
⼈才配置与⾦融发展: 来⾃近代中国的实证(1897-1936)

February 19, 2024

by Chen Lin, Chicheng Ma, Yuchen Sun, and Yuchen Xu
 

R&R at Management Science

Abstract

We examine how the supply of talent affected financial development based on an experiment that abruptly changed the allocation of talent in historical China. Under the meritocratic civil examination system, government service was the main employment for the Chinese intellectuals. The abolition of this system in 1905 reduced the status and wealth attached to government service, which led the intellectuals to turn to modern banking as a high-status sector of employment. We find that regions where there were more candidates for the civil examination produced more financial professionals after 1905, which translated to a greater development of modern banking.

摘要

本文利用清代废科举这一制度冲击,检验⼈才供给对现代⾦融发展的影响。七世纪以降,科举制汇聚天下贤才为考官而读书。然而,这一“学而优则仕”的社会流动机制,在1905年被清政府废止。这促使知识分⼦转向官府以外的市场部门,寻求其它实现财富和地位之道。而现代银⾏业在中国的萌芽和发展,为科举人才提供了新的机会。我们的统计分析表明,拥有更多科举配额的地区,在科举废除后产生了更多商科毕业生和银行家;这些新式人才为当地带来了更多的现代银行。这表明人力资本对新式金融发展的重要作用。

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